Oscar Predictions - Tom OBrien

Sunday, October 4, 2026

Tom OBrien

*Writer/Podcaster, Next Best Picture *Contributing Writer, Gold Derby *Member: WGA West, GALECA, Television Academy

@thomaseobrien

Best Picture

Oct 2

1	1	The Odyssey Universal \| Christopher Nolan
2	2	La bola negra Netflix \| Javier Ambrossi, Javier Calvo
3 1	3 1	Wild Horse Nine Searchlight \| Martin McDonagh
4 1	4 1	Project Hail Mary Amazon MGM \| Phil Lord, Christopher Miller
5	5	Dune: Part Three Warner Bros. \| Denis Villeneuve
6	6	The Debut A24 \| Jesse Eisenberg
7 1	7 1	The Invite A24 \| Olivia Wilde
8 1	8 1	All of a Sudden Neon \| Ryusuke Hamaguchi
9 1	9 1	Club Kid A24 \| Jordan Firstman
10	10	I Play Rocky Amazon MGM \| Peter Farrelly

Best Director

Oct 2

1	1	Christopher Nolan The Odyssey
2	2	Martin McDonagh Wild Horse Nine
3	3	Javier Ambrossi, Javier Calvo La bola negra
4	4	Olivia Wilde The Invite
5 1	5 1	Phil Lord, Christopher Miller Project Hail Mary

Best Actress

Sep 14

1	1	Julianne Moore The Debut
2	2	Sandra Hüller Rose
3 2	3 2	Olivia Wilde The Invite
4 3	4 3	Inde Navarrette Obsession
5 1	5 1	Virginie Efira All of a Sudden

Best Actor

Oct 3

1	1	John Malkovich Wild Horse Nine
2	2	Andrew Scott Elsinore
3	3	Matt Damon The Odyssey
4 2	4 2	Robert Pattinson Primetime
5 1	5 1	Pedro Pascal Behemoth!

Best Supporting Actress

Sep 29

1	1	Anne Hathaway The Odyssey
2	2	Mariana di Girolamo Wild Horse Nine
3	3	Penélope Cruz The Invite
4	4	Olivia Colman Elsinore
5	5	Samantha Morton The Odyssey

Best Supporting Actor

Oct 1

1	1	Paul Giamatti The Debut
2	2	Sam Rockwell Wild Horse Nine
3	3	John Leguizamo The Odyssey
4	4	Edward Norton The Invite
5 2	5 2	Steve Buscemi Wild Horse Nine

Best Adapted Screenplay

Jun 28

1	1	La bola negra Javier Ambrossi, Javier Calvo, Alberto Conejero \| Netflix
2	2	The Odyssey Christopher Nolan \| Universal
3	3	Project Hail Mary Drew Goddard \| Amazon MGM
4	4	All of a Sudden Ryusuke Hamaguchi, Léa Le Dimna \| Neon
5	5	The Invite Rashida Jones, Will McCormack \| A24

Best Original Screenplay

Jul 14

1	1	Wild Horse Nine Martin McDonagh \| Searchlight
2 1	2 1	The Debut Jesse Eisenberg \| A24
3 4	3 4	Behemoth! Tony Gilroy \| Searchlight
4	4	Fjord Cristian Mungiu \| Neon
5 3	5 3	Digger Alejandro G. Iñárritu, Alexander Dinelaris, Nicolás Giacobone, Sabina Berman \| Warner Bros.

Best Casting

6:38 PM

1	1	The Odyssey John Papsidera \| Universal
2	2	La bola negra Eva Leira, Yolanda Serrano \| Netflix
3	3	Wild Horse Nine Sarah Halley Finn \| Searchlight
4	4	Digger Francine Maisler \| Warner Bros.
5	5	Fjord Hannah Chocron Foldøy \| Neon

Best Animated Feature

Sep 28

1	1	Wildwood Fathom \| Travis Knight
2	2	Ray Gunn Netflix \| Brad Bird
3 2	3 2	Iron Boy SPC \| Louis Clichy
4 2	4 2	Forgotten Island Universal \| Januel Mercado, Joel Crawford
5 2	5 2	Toy Story 5 Disney \| Andrew Stanton

Best Documentary Feature

Sep 8

1	1	Once Upon a Time in Harlem Neon \| William Greaves, David Greaves
2	2	You Can See Everything A24 \| Nathan Fielder, Lance Oppenheim
3 1	3 1	NAZA
4 1	4 1	American Doctor Watermelon \| Poh Si Teng
5 1	5 1	14th Netflix \| Ava DuVernay

Best International Feature Film

Sep 14

1	1	La bola negra
2 1	2 1	All of a Sudden
3 1	3 1	Possible Love
4 1	4 1	Minotaur
5 3	5 3	Fjord

Best Cinematography

Jun 28

1	1	The Odyssey Hoyte van Hoytema \| Universal
2	2	Digger Emmanuel Lubezki \| Warner Bros.
3	3	La bola negra Gris Jordana \| Netflix
4	4	Fatherland Łukasz Żal \| Mubi
5	5	Project Hail Mary Greig Fraser \| Amazon MGM

Best Costume Design

Aug 16

1	1	The Odyssey Universal
2	2	Sense and Sensibility Focus Features
3	3	La bola negra Ana López Cobos \| Netflix
4	4	Werwulf Focus Features
5 1	5 1	Michael Universal

Best Film Editing

Jun 28

1	1	The Odyssey Jennifer Lame \| Universal
2	2	Wild Horse Nine Mikkel E.G. Nielsen \| Searchlight
3	3	La bola negra Alberto Gutiérrez \| Netflix
4	4	Digger Conor O'Neill, Stephen Mirrione \| Warner Bros.
5	5	Project Hail Mary Joel Negron \| Amazon MGM

Best Makeup and Hairstyling

Jun 28

1	1	Werwulf Focus Features
2	2	Digger Warner Bros.
3	3	Clayface Warner Bros.
4	4	The Odyssey Universal
5	5	Michael Universal

Best Production Design

Jun 28

1	1	The Odyssey Ruth De Jong, Larry Dias \| Universal
2	2	Project Hail Mary Charles Wood, John Bush \| Amazon MGM
3	3	Dune: Part Three Patrice Vermette, Shane Vieau \| Warner Bros.
4	4	Werwulf Craig Lathrop, Anna Pinnock \| Focus Features
5	5	Backrooms Danny Vermette, Trevor Johnston, Elliott Vion \| A24

Best Original Score

Jun 28

1	1	The Odyssey Ludwig Göransson \| Universal
2	2	Disclosure Day John Williams \| Universal
3	3	Project Hail Mary Daniel Pemberton \| Amazon MGM
4	4	Wild Horse Nine Carter Burwell \| Searchlight
5	5	La bola negra Raül Refree \| Netflix

Best Original Song

Sep 13

1 4	1 4	This City May Have Chewed Me Up (But It Hasn’t Spit Me Out) The Debut
2 5	2 5	La Nieve La bola negra
3 1	3 1	I Knew It, I Knew You Toy Story 5
4 1	4 1	How to Write a Song (Without You) Power Ballad
5 1	5 1	By Any Means By Any Means

Best Sound

Jun 28

1	1	Dune: Part Three Warner Bros.
2	2	Project Hail Mary Amazon MGM
3	3	The Odyssey Universal
4	4	Disclosure Day Universal
5	5	Digger Warner Bros.

Best Visual Effects

2:21 PM

1	1	Dune: Part Three Warner Bros.
2 1	2 1	The Odyssey Universal
3 1	3 1	Godzilla Minus Zero GKIDS
4 2	4 2	Project Hail Mary Amazon MGM
5	5	Disclosure Day Universal

1	1	La bola negra Javier Ambrossi, Javier Calvo, Alberto Conejero \| Netflix
2	2	The Odyssey Christopher Nolan \| Universal
3	3	Project Hail Mary Drew Goddard \| Amazon MGM
4	4	All of a Sudden Ryusuke Hamaguchi, Léa Le Dimna \| Neon
5	5	The Invite Rashida Jones, Will McCormack \| A24

1	1	The Odyssey John Papsidera \| Universal
2	2	La bola negra Eva Leira, Yolanda Serrano \| Netflix
3	3	Wild Horse Nine Sarah Halley Finn \| Searchlight
4	4	Digger Francine Maisler \| Warner Bros.
5	5	Fjord Hannah Chocron Foldøy \| Neon

1	1	The Odyssey Hoyte van Hoytema \| Universal
2	2	Digger Emmanuel Lubezki \| Warner Bros.
3	3	La bola negra Gris Jordana \| Netflix
4	4	Fatherland Łukasz Żal \| Mubi
5	5	Project Hail Mary Greig Fraser \| Amazon MGM

1	1	The Odyssey Jennifer Lame \| Universal
2	2	Wild Horse Nine Mikkel E.G. Nielsen \| Searchlight
3	3	La bola negra Alberto Gutiérrez \| Netflix
4	4	Digger Conor O'Neill, Stephen Mirrione \| Warner Bros.
5	5	Project Hail Mary Joel Negron \| Amazon MGM

1	1	The Odyssey Ruth De Jong, Larry Dias \| Universal
2	2	Project Hail Mary Charles Wood, John Bush \| Amazon MGM
3	3	Dune: Part Three Patrice Vermette, Shane Vieau \| Warner Bros.
4	4	Werwulf Craig Lathrop, Anna Pinnock \| Focus Features
5	5	Backrooms Danny Vermette, Trevor Johnston, Elliott Vion \| A24

Tom OBrien

Best Picture

The Odyssey

La bola negra

Wild Horse Nine

Project Hail Mary

Dune: Part Three

The Debut

The Invite

All of a Sudden

Club Kid

I Play Rocky

Best Director

Christopher Nolan

Martin McDonagh

Javier Ambrossi, Javier Calvo

Olivia Wilde

Phil Lord, Christopher Miller

Best Actress

Julianne Moore

Sandra Hüller

Olivia Wilde

Inde Navarrette

Virginie Efira

Best Actor

John Malkovich

Andrew Scott

Matt Damon

Robert Pattinson

Pedro Pascal

Best Supporting Actress

Anne Hathaway

Mariana di Girolamo

Penélope Cruz

Olivia Colman

Samantha Morton

Best Supporting Actor

Paul Giamatti

Sam Rockwell

John Leguizamo

Edward Norton

Steve Buscemi

Best Adapted Screenplay

La bola negra

The Odyssey

Project Hail Mary

All of a Sudden

The Invite

Best Original Screenplay

Wild Horse Nine

The Debut

Behemoth!

Fjord

Digger

Best Casting

The Odyssey

La bola negra

Wild Horse Nine

Digger

Fjord

Best Animated Feature

Wildwood

Ray Gunn

Iron Boy

Forgotten Island

Toy Story 5

Best Documentary Feature

Once Upon a Time in Harlem

You Can See Everything

NAZA

American Doctor

14th

Best International Feature Film

La bola negra

All of a Sudden

Possible Love

Minotaur

Fjord

Best Cinematography

The Odyssey