Oscar Predictions - Tom OBrien

Monday, July 6, 2026

Tom OBrien

*Writer/Podcaster, Next Best Picture *Contributing Writer, Gold Derby *Member: WGA West, GALECA, Television Academy

@thomaseobrien

Best Picture

Jul 4

1	1	The Odyssey Universal \| Christopher Nolan
2	2	Project Hail Mary Amazon MGM \| Phil Lord, Christopher Miller
3	3	Wild Horse Nine Searchlight \| Martin McDonagh
4	4	Digger Warner Bros. \| Alejandro G. Iñárritu
5	5	La Bola Negra Netflix \| Javier Ambrossi, Javier Calvo
6	6	Fjord Neon \| Cristian Mungiu
7	7	Dune: Part Three Warner Bros. \| Denis Villeneuve
8	8	The Debut A24 \| Jesse Eisenberg
9 1	9 1	Disclosure Day Universal \| Steven Spielberg
10	10	Artificial Neon \| Luca Guadagnino

Best Director

Jun 24

1	1	Christopher Nolan The Odyssey
2	2	Martin McDonagh Wild Horse Nine
3	3	Alejandro G. Iñárritu Digger
4	4	Cristian Mungiu Fjord
5	5	Javier Ambrossi, Javier Calvo La Bola Negra

Best Actress

Jul 3

1 1	1 1	Julianne Moore The Debut
2 1	2 1	Emily Blunt Disclosure Day
3 2	3 2	Renate Reinsve Fjord
4 2	4 2	Michelle Williams A Place in Hell
5 2	5 2	Inde Navarrette Obsession

Best Actor

Jul 4

1	1	Tom Cruise Digger
2	2	John Malkovich Wild Horse Nine
3 3	3 3	Matt Damon The Odyssey
4	4	Ryan Gosling Project Hail Mary
5 2	5 2	Sebastian Stan Fjord

Best Supporting Actress

Jul 1

1 1	1 1	Anne Hathaway The Odyssey
2 2	2 2	Mariana di Girolamo Wild Horse Nine
3 2	3 2	Penélope Cruz La Bola Negra
4 2	4 2	Parker Posey Wild Horse Nine
5 4	5 4	Sandra Hüller Digger

Best Supporting Actor

Jul 4

1	1	Paul Giamatti The Debut
2	2	John Goodman Digger
3	3	Steve Buscemi Wild Horse Nine
4	4	Sam Rockwell Wild Horse Nine
5	5	Edward Norton The Invite

Best Adapted Screenplay

Jun 28

1	1	La Bola Negra Javier Ambrossi, Javier Calvo \| Netflix
2	2	The Odyssey Christopher Nolan \| Universal
3	3	Project Hail Mary Drew Goddard \| Amazon MGM
4	4	All of a Sudden Ryusuke Hamaguchi, Léa Le Dimna \| Neon
5	5	The Invite Rashida Jones, Will McCormack \| A24

Best Original Screenplay

Jun 28

1	1	Wild Horse Nine Martin McDonagh \| Searchlight
2	2	Digger Alejandro G. Iñárritu, Alexander Dinelaris, Nicolás Giacobone, Sabina Berman \| Warner Bros.
3	3	The Debut Jesse Eisenberg \| A24
4	4	Fjord Cristian Mungiu \| Neon
5	5	Obsession Curry Barker \| Focus Features

Best Casting

Jul 4

1	1	The Odyssey John Papsidera \| Universal
2	2	La Bola Negra Eva Leira, Yolanda Serrano \| Netflix
3	3	Wild Horse Nine Sarah Halley Finn \| Searchlight
4	4	Digger Francine Maisler \| Warner Bros.
5	5	Fjord Hannah Chocron Foldøy \| Neon

Best Animated Feature

Jun 28

1	1	Wildwood Fathom \| Travis Knight
2	2	Toy Story 5 Disney \| Andrew Stanton
3	3	Forgotten Island Universal \| Januel Mercado, Joel Crawford
4	4	Tangles
5	5	Hoppers Disney \| Daniel Chong

Best Documentary Feature

Jun 28

1	1	Once Upon a Time in Harlem Neon \| William Greaves, David Greaves
2	2	American Doctor
3	3	To Hold a Mountain
4	4	The History of Concrete Magnolia \| John Wilson
5	5	Rehearsals for a Revolution

Best International Feature Film

Jun 28

1	1	La Bola Negra
2	2	Fjord
3	3	All of a Sudden
4	4	Fatherland
5	5	Minotaur

Best Cinematography

Jun 28

1	1	The Odyssey Hoyte van Hoytema \| Universal
2	2	Digger Emmanuel Lubezki \| Warner Bros.
3	3	La Bola Negra Gris Jordana \| Netflix
4	4	Fatherland Łukasz Żal \| Mubi
5	5	Project Hail Mary Greig Fraser \| Amazon MGM

Best Costume Design

Jun 28

1	1	The Odyssey Universal
2	2	Sense and Sensibility Focus Features
3	3	La Bola Negra Ana López Cobos \| Netflix
4	4	Werwulf Focus Features
5	5	I Love Boosters Neon

Best Film Editing

Jun 28

1	1	The Odyssey Jennifer Lame \| Universal
2	2	Wild Horse Nine Mikkel E.G. Nielsen \| Searchlight
3	3	La Bola Negra Alberto Gutiérrez \| Netflix
4	4	Digger Conor O'Neill, Stephen Mirrione \| Warner Bros.
5	5	Project Hail Mary Joel Negron \| Amazon MGM

Best Makeup and Hairstyling

Jun 28

1	1	Werwulf Focus Features
2	2	Digger Warner Bros.
3	3	Clayface Warner Bros.
4	4	The Odyssey Universal
5	5	Michael Universal

Best Production Design

Jun 28

1	1	The Odyssey Ruth De Jong, Larry Dias, Gene Serdena \| Universal
2	2	Project Hail Mary Charles Wood, John Bush \| Amazon MGM
3	3	Dune: Part Three Patrice Vermette, Shane Vieau \| Warner Bros.
4	4	Werwulf Craig Lathrop, Anna Pinnock \| Focus Features
5	5	Backrooms Danny Vermette, Trevor Johnston, Elliott Vion \| A24

Best Original Score

Jun 28

1	1	The Odyssey Ludwig Göransson \| Universal
2	2	Disclosure Day John Williams \| Universal
3	3	Project Hail Mary Daniel Pemberton \| Amazon MGM
4	4	Wild Horse Nine Carter Burwell \| Searchlight
5	5	La Bola Negra Raül Refree \| Netflix

Best Original Song

Jun 28

1	1	I Knew It, I Knew You Toy Story 5
2	2	Runway The Devil Wears Prada 2
3	3	How to Write a Song (Without You) Power Ballad
4	4	Diane Warren Untitled
5	5	TBD The Debut

Best Sound

Jun 28

1	1	Dune: Part Three Warner Bros.
2	2	Project Hail Mary Amazon MGM
3	3	The Odyssey Universal
4	4	Disclosure Day Universal
5	5	Digger Warner Bros.

Best Visual Effects

Jun 28

1	1	Dune: Part Three Warner Bros.
2	2	Project Hail Mary Amazon MGM
3	3	The Odyssey Universal
4	4	Godzilla Minus Zero GKIDS
5	5	Disclosure Day Universal

1	1	The Odyssey Universal \| Christopher Nolan
2	2	Project Hail Mary Amazon MGM \| Phil Lord, Christopher Miller
3	3	Wild Horse Nine Searchlight \| Martin McDonagh
4	4	Digger Warner Bros. \| Alejandro G. Iñárritu
5	5	La Bola Negra Netflix \| Javier Ambrossi, Javier Calvo
6	6	Fjord Neon \| Cristian Mungiu
7	7	Dune: Part Three Warner Bros. \| Denis Villeneuve
8	8	The Debut A24 \| Jesse Eisenberg
9 1	9 1	Disclosure Day Universal \| Steven Spielberg
10	10	Artificial Neon \| Luca Guadagnino

1	1	La Bola Negra Javier Ambrossi, Javier Calvo \| Netflix
2	2	The Odyssey Christopher Nolan \| Universal
3	3	Project Hail Mary Drew Goddard \| Amazon MGM
4	4	All of a Sudden Ryusuke Hamaguchi, Léa Le Dimna \| Neon
5	5	The Invite Rashida Jones, Will McCormack \| A24

1	1	Wild Horse Nine Martin McDonagh \| Searchlight
2	2	Digger Alejandro G. Iñárritu, Alexander Dinelaris, Nicolás Giacobone, Sabina Berman \| Warner Bros.
3	3	The Debut Jesse Eisenberg \| A24
4	4	Fjord Cristian Mungiu \| Neon
5	5	Obsession Curry Barker \| Focus Features

1	1	The Odyssey John Papsidera \| Universal
2	2	La Bola Negra Eva Leira, Yolanda Serrano \| Netflix
3	3	Wild Horse Nine Sarah Halley Finn \| Searchlight
4	4	Digger Francine Maisler \| Warner Bros.
5	5	Fjord Hannah Chocron Foldøy \| Neon

1	1	Wildwood Fathom \| Travis Knight
2	2	Toy Story 5 Disney \| Andrew Stanton
3	3	Forgotten Island Universal \| Januel Mercado, Joel Crawford
4	4	Tangles
5	5	Hoppers Disney \| Daniel Chong

Tom OBrien

Best Picture

The Odyssey

Project Hail Mary

Wild Horse Nine

Digger

La Bola Negra

Fjord

Dune: Part Three

The Debut

Disclosure Day

Artificial

Best Director

Christopher Nolan

Martin McDonagh

Alejandro G. Iñárritu

Cristian Mungiu

Javier Ambrossi, Javier Calvo

Best Actress

Julianne Moore

Emily Blunt

Renate Reinsve

Michelle Williams

Inde Navarrette

Best Actor

Tom Cruise

John Malkovich

Matt Damon

Ryan Gosling

Sebastian Stan

Best Supporting Actress

Anne Hathaway

Mariana di Girolamo

Penélope Cruz

Parker Posey

Sandra Hüller

Best Supporting Actor

Paul Giamatti

John Goodman

Steve Buscemi

Sam Rockwell

Edward Norton

Best Adapted Screenplay

La Bola Negra

The Odyssey

Project Hail Mary

All of a Sudden

The Invite

Best Original Screenplay

Wild Horse Nine

Digger

The Debut

Fjord

Obsession

Best Casting

The Odyssey

La Bola Negra

Wild Horse Nine

Digger

Fjord

Best Animated Feature

Wildwood

Toy Story 5

Forgotten Island

Tangles

Hoppers

Best Documentary Feature

Once Upon a Time in Harlem

American Doctor

To Hold a Mountain

The History of Concrete

Rehearsals for a Revolution

Best International Feature Film

La Bola Negra

Fjord

All of a Sudden

Fatherland

Minotaur

Best Cinematography

The Odyssey