Oscar Predictions - Daniel Bayer - Next Best Picture

Sunday, October 4, 2026

Daniel Bayer

Film Critic & Awards Pundit for Next Best Picture and AwardsWatch.

@dancindan

Best Picture

Sep 20

1	1	The Odyssey Universal \| Christopher Nolan
2 5	2 5	La bola negra Netflix \| Javier Ambrossi, Javier Calvo
3	3	Wild Horse Nine Searchlight \| Martin McDonagh
4 2	4 2	Dune: Part Three Warner Bros. \| Denis Villeneuve
5 3	5 3	Ink Netflix \| Danny Boyle
6 1	6 1	Project Hail Mary Amazon MGM \| Phil Lord, Christopher Miller
7 1	7 1	Fjord Neon \| Cristian Mungiu
8 1	8 1	Primetime A24 \| Lance Oppenheim
9 2	9 2	All of a Sudden Neon \| Ryusuke Hamaguchi
10 6	10 6	Digger Warner Bros. \| Alejandro G. Iñárritu

Best Director

Sep 20

1 1	1 1	Christopher Nolan The Odyssey
2 1	2 1	Javier Ambrossi, Javier Calvo La bola negra
3 1	3 1	Denis Villeneuve Dune: Part Three
4 6	4 6	Ryusuke Hamaguchi All of a Sudden
5	5	Nathan Fielder, Lance Oppenheim You Can See Everything

Best Actress

1:24 AM

1	1	Julianne Moore The Debut
2	2	Cynthia Erivo Prima Facie
3	3	Renate Reinsve Fjord
4	4	Sandra Hüller Rose
5	5	Virginie Efira All of a Sudden

Best Actor

Sep 20

1 1	1 1	John Malkovich Wild Horse Nine
2 1	2 1	Andrew Scott Elsinore
3 2	3 2	Tom Cruise Digger
4	4	Matt Damon The Odyssey
5	5	John Turturro The Only Living Pickpocket in New York

Best Supporting Actress

1:24 AM

1	1	Anne Hathaway The Odyssey
2	2	Penélope Cruz La bola negra
3	3	Mariana di Girolamo Wild Horse Nine
4 1	4 1	Samantha Morton The Odyssey
5 1	5 1	Gillian Anderson Teenage Sex and Death at Camp Miasma

Best Supporting Actor

Jul 29

1	1	Paul Giamatti The Debut
2	2	John Goodman Digger
3	3	Steve Buscemi Wild Horse Nine
4 1	4 1	Guy Pearce Ink
5 1	5 1	Matthew McConaughey The Rivals of Amziah King

Best Adapted Screenplay

Jul 16

1	1	La bola negra Javier Ambrossi, Javier Calvo, Alberto Conejero \| Netflix
2	2	The Odyssey Christopher Nolan \| Universal
3	3	Ink James Graham \| Netflix
4 1	4 1	Project Hail Mary Drew Goddard \| Amazon MGM
5	5	The Invite Rashida Jones, Will McCormack \| A24

Best Original Screenplay

Jul 1

1	1	Wild Horse Nine Martin McDonagh \| Searchlight
2	2	Digger Alejandro G. Iñárritu, Alexander Dinelaris, Nicolás Giacobone, Sabina Berman \| Warner Bros.
3	3	Fjord Cristian Mungiu \| Neon
4	4	Obsession Curry Barker \| Focus Features
5	5	Primetime Ajon Singh \| A24

Best Casting

Aug 21

1	1	Wild Horse Nine Sarah Halley Finn \| Searchlight
2	2	Digger Francine Maisler \| Warner Bros.
3	3	La bola negra Eva Leira, Yolanda Serrano \| Netflix
4	4	Fjord Hannah Chocron Foldøy \| Neon
5	5	The Odyssey John Papsidera \| Universal

Best Animated Feature

Sep 23

1	1	In Waves Netflix \| Phuong Mai Nguyen
2	2	Toy Story 5 Disney \| Andrew Stanton
3	3	Forgotten Island Universal \| Januel Mercado, Joel Crawford
4	4	Iron Boy SPC \| Louis Clichy
5	5	Ray Gunn Netflix \| Brad Bird

Best Documentary Feature

Sep 20

1	1	You Can See Everything A24 \| Nathan Fielder, Lance Oppenheim
2	2	NAZA
3 2	3 2	Once Upon a Time in Harlem Neon \| William Greaves, David Greaves
4 2	4 2	American Doctor Watermelon \| Poh Si Teng
5 1	5 1	Rehearsals for a Revolution SPC \| Pegah Ahangarani

Best International Feature Film

Sep 8

1	1	La bola negra
2	2	All of a Sudden
3	3	Fjord
4 2	4 2	Possible Love
5	5	Fatherland

Best Cinematography

Jul 5

1	1	Digger Emmanuel Lubezki \| Warner Bros.
2	2	The Odyssey Hoyte van Hoytema \| Universal
3	3	Dune: Part Three Linus Sandgren \| Warner Bros.
4	4	Fatherland Łukasz Żal \| Mubi
5	5	Project Hail Mary Greig Fraser \| Amazon MGM

Best Costume Design

Jul 1

1	1	Dune: Part Three Warner Bros.
2	2	Werwulf Focus Features
3	3	The Odyssey Universal
4	4	La bola negra Ana López Cobos \| Netflix
5	5	Sense and Sensibility Focus Features

Best Film Editing

Jul 15

1 2	1 2	Digger Conor O'Neill, Stephen Mirrione \| Warner Bros.
2 1	2 1	The Odyssey Jennifer Lame \| Universal
3 1	3 1	Wild Horse Nine Mikkel E.G. Nielsen \| Searchlight
4	4	La bola negra Alberto Gutiérrez \| Netflix
5	5	Dune: Part Three Joe Walker \| Warner Bros.

Best Makeup and Hairstyling

Jul 15

1	1	Werwulf Focus Features
2	2	Digger Warner Bros.
3	3	Dune: Part Three Warner Bros.
4 3	4 3	The Odyssey Universal
5	5	Wicker Black Bear

Best Production Design

Jul 1

1	1	Dune: Part Three Patrice Vermette, Shane Vieau \| Warner Bros.
2	2	Digger Anna Pinnock, Dennis Gassner, Richard L. Johnson \| Warner Bros.
3	3	The Odyssey Ruth De Jong, Larry Dias \| Universal
4	4	Project Hail Mary Charles Wood, John Bush \| Amazon MGM
5	5	La bola negra Roger Bellés, Judit Ferrer \| Netflix

Best Original Score

Jul 29

1	1	Disclosure Day John Williams \| Universal
2	2	Project Hail Mary Daniel Pemberton \| Amazon MGM
3	3	The Odyssey Ludwig Göransson \| Universal
4	4	La bola negra Raül Refree \| Netflix
5	5	Ink Daniel Pemberton \| Netflix

Best Original Song

Aug 19

1	1	This City May Have Chewed Me Up (But It Hasn’t Spit Me Out) The Debut
2	2	La Nieve La bola negra
3	3	By Any Means By Any Means
4 1	4 1	How to Write a Song (Without You) Power Ballad
5 2	5 2	TBD The Rivals of Amziah King

Best Sound

Jul 1

1	1	Dune: Part Three Warner Bros.
2	2	Project Hail Mary Amazon MGM
3	3	The Odyssey Universal
4	4	La bola negra Netflix
5	5	Disclosure Day Universal

Best Visual Effects

Jul 1

1	1	Project Hail Mary Amazon MGM
2	2	Dune: Part Three Warner Bros.
3	3	The Odyssey Universal
4	4	Whalefall 20th Century
5	5	The End of Oak Street Warner Bros.